Americans should prepare for a significant health insurance cost increase in 2026. Analysts warn of rising premiums and reduced affordability across both ACA and employer plans.
A recent Peterson-KFF Health Tracker report shows a 15% median increase in ACA plan premiums. This marks the largest price jump since 2018.
Even people with employer-sponsored insurance aren’t exempt. A report from Mercer shows:
Over 50% of large employers plan to shift more costs to workers
This will come through higher deductibles, copays, and out-of-pocket limits
Beth Umland, Mercer’s research director, says employers are being forced to react to inflation and rising medical costs.
“Many companies are now more willing to shift expenses to employees than in past years.”
The expiration of COVID-era tax credits, rising medical costs, and new federal policy changes are driving prices higher. Key reasons include:
Medical inflation and costlier treatments
End of ACA subsidies that lowered premiums
Tariffs on medical device imports
Regulatory changes under recent Trump-era tax law
Matt McGough of KFF explains that the law introduced uncertainty for insurers.
“Insurers weren’t sure how to price their plans going forward,” he said.
New work and volunteer requirements will lead to millions losing Medicaid eligibility. Other major changes include:
Ending year-round ACA sign-ups for low-income groups
Stopping automatic plan renewals
Requiring annual updates of income and personal info
These changes could remove many people from ACA coverage—especially low-income families who benefited from simplified enrollment.
Biden-era subsidies helped lower monthly premiums for millions. Now, those credits will expire. The Congressional Budget Office estimates that:
Up to 5 million people could lose ACA coverage
Out-of-pocket costs will rise by over 75% on average
KFF warns that healthy individuals may drop out, leaving insurers with sicker patients who need more care—further driving prices up.
Employers also expect their healthcare costs to rise by 6% or more in 2025 and 2026. To manage this, companies are:
Raising deductibles and employee cost-sharing
Offering “narrow network” plans with fewer providers
Encouraging use of in-network services with negotiated discounts
Earlier in the decade, labor shortages made companies hesitant to raise healthcare costs. But that trend is shifting fast.
Before these premium increases become official, state and federal regulators must review and approve insurer filings. However, most proposed increases fall in the 10% to 28% range.
Once finalized, these new rates will take effect during the fall 2025 open enrollment period.
The health insurance cost increase 2026 will impact millions of Americans—whether they get coverage from the ACA or through work. With tax credits ending and employer contributions shrinking, families must prepare for higher monthly bills and fewer coverage protections.
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